Granada vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GET
1 - 2
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 3
EIB
54%
27%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 3
GRA
17%
23%
60%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 2
BET
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
UDI
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BET
1 - 1
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAS
1 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
LEV
0 - 2
VIL
35%
28%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |