Granada vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
OSA
3 - 2
GRA
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
UPL
1 - 0
GRA
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
GDE
0 - 4
GRA
53%
28%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 1
SAB
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDT
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 1
RUN
81%
13%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 1
RJA
61%
25%
14%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 2
ALA
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
BAR
1 - 1
RJA
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |