Gran Peña vs Marcón Atletico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOS
2 - 0
GRA
59%
21%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 1
BEL
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
DOM
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MIG
1 - 1
GRA
55%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marcón Atletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
PON
45%
24%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UMI
1 - 2
MAT
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
CUN
50%
23%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 2
MAT
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
SES
73%
17%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |