Gran Peña vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
ATO
3 - 3
GRA
53%
26%
21%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
GRA
0 - 0
BER
39%
28%
33%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
DEP
1 - 1
GRA
54%
25%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
GRA
0 - 0
ARE
44%
29%
28%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
RCF
0 - 0
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CEL
1 - 0
GON
56%
24%
21%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
ASP
2 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
10%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
CEL
2 - 0
FLA
71%
19%
10%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
BAR
0 - 0
CEL
40%
31%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
CEL
1 - 0
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |