Celta C – Gran Peña vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta C – Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PON
1 - 4
GRA
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
BEL
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UMI
0 - 3
GRA
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 0
SES
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
GRA
49%
22%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAM
59%
21%
20%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
RAP
62%
19%
19%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 3
CAL
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 4
ERI
12%
17%
70%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |