Gran Maestre vs San Francisco de Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Maestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
GRA
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GRA
4 - 0
NUE
70%
18%
12%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CPO
2 - 0
GRA
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
3 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PUE
3 - 4
GRA
77%
16%
8%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
San Francisco de Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SFO
1 - 1
CPA
13%
22%
65%
|
5 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 0
SFO
84%
12%
5%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SFO
0 - 3
CFS
27%
25%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 1
SFO
77%
15%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SFO
1 - 3
VER
30%
25%
45%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |