Gragnano vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 1
GRA
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 3
GRA
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
NFR
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
USV
1 - 1
GRA
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
REG
0 - 0
NFR
40%
25%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
REG
2 - 2
SIR
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
REG
23%
22%
56%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
REG
2 - 1
REN
65%
22%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 1
REG
22%
24%
55%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |