Grafičar vs Mačva Šabac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
10º
3º
37
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
RSM
71%
18%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
VRS
0 - 2
GRA
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MET
1 - 3
GRA
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
INI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
RNB
2 - 1
GRA
10%
22%
68%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mačva Šabac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
ZEL
3 - 1
MAV
67%
22%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JED
1 - 0
MAV
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MAV
3 - 1
TKS
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
MAV
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MAV
0 - 0
FKZ
37%
27%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |