De Graafschap vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRA
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RJC
1 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
DOV
0 - 3
WIL
6%
15%
78%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 1
UTR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FEY
1 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |