De Graafschap vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 2
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
ADO
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 3
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 3
AZA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
2 - 0
TWE
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 0
NEC
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
3 - 1
ZWO
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |