De Graafschap vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
GRA
5 - 3
HHC
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
GRA
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 0
SPA
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 2
BVO
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
JON
2 - 0
GRA
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
BOC
1 - 0
HER
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
NEC
34%
23%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FEY
5 - 2
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
FOR
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |