De Graafschap vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
FCE
0 - 2
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
GRA
4 - 1
FCD
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
APE
4 - 2
GRA
37%
25%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 1
VVV
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
GAE
1 - 2
GRA
57%
21%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
EXC
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
MVV
2 - 2
HER
18%
22%
59%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 1
HER
22%
23%
54%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
FCO
1 - 2
HER
29%
24%
48%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
HER
3 - 0
TEL
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |