De Graafschap vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
EIN
4 - 3
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
6 - 3
JON
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
PSV
3 - 1
GRA
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
RJC
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRA
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TWE
1 - 2
GRO
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 2
TWE
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCD
0 - 4
TWE
23%
25%
53%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |