De Graafschap vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
AJA
7 - 1
GRA
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
GRA
0 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 4
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 6
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRA
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2003 |
RJC
5 - 1
GRO
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRO
68%
19%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
GRO
0 - 0
NEC
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRO
0 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |