De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RJC
1 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 3
ZWO
28%
26%
47%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCE
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 1
RJC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 0
AST
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
AST
3 - 2
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |