De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
GRO
1 - 0
GRA
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 3
RJC
29%
26%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 0
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 1
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
TWE
4 - 0
GRA
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
RKC
3 - 0
AZA
29%
24%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
AZA
3 - 0
RBC
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
FEY
2 - 0
AZA
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
RJC
3 - 2
AZA
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
AZA
0 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |