De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 1
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PSV
6 - 0
GRA
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 5
APE
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
EIN
2 - 6
GRA
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
DYN
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
RJC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
DYN
1 - 1
AJA
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 2
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
69%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |