De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1999 |
RJC
3 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 0
PSV
17%
20%
62%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 3
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
GRA
0 - 0
FOR
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 3
GRA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
AJA
6 - 0
FEY
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 1
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |