De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
SPA
3 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 3
ADO
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
PSV
1 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 2
HFC
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
AZA
4 - 1
GRA
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
RJC
2 - 3
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
AMS
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
82%
11%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |