Gozzano vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 3
GOZ
13%
24%
63%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
GOZ
3 - 0
ASD
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
OLG
2 - 0
GOZ
12%
24%
64%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
GOZ
17%
25%
58%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
GOZ
1 - 0
VAR
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
ASD
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
INV
2 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 0
ASD
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 1
FOL
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |