FAW Championship Sur. Jor. 13

Goytre United vs Carmarthen Town analysis

Goytre United Carmarthen Town
31 ELO 44
9.1% Tilt 0.9%
7467º General ELO ranking 5264º
42º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
21%
Goytre United
22.2%
Draw
56.9%
Carmarthen Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
Goytre United
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.8%
Win probability
Carmarthen Town
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Goytre United
+14%
-36%
Carmarthen Town

ELO progression

Goytre United
Carmarthen Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Goytre United
Goytre United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2023
GOY
Goytre United
3 - 2
Abergavenny Town
ABE
75%
14%
11%
31 20 11 0
06 Oct. 2023
BRI
Briton Ferry
3 - 2
Goytre United
GOY
82%
12%
5%
32 49 17 -1
30 Sep. 2023
GOY
Goytre United
1 - 0
Cambrian & Clydach
CAM
18%
21%
61%
28 42 14 +4
22 Sep. 2023
AAF
Ammanford AFC
0 - 1
Goytre United
GOY
67%
18%
15%
27 35 8 +1
16 Sep. 2023
GOY
Goytre United
1 - 3
Trefelin
TRE
50%
20%
30%
28 24 4 -1

Matches

Carmarthen Town
Carmarthen Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
CAR
Carmarthen Town
4 - 2
Abertillery Bluebirds
ABB
77%
14%
10%
43 16 27 0
04 Nov. 2023
CAR
Carmarthen Town
2 - 2
Briton Ferry
BRI
26%
22%
52%
43 50 7 0
27 Oct. 2023
BRI
Briton Ferry
3 - 1
Carmarthen Town
CAR
62%
20%
18%
44 49 5 -1
21 Oct. 2023
CAR
Carmarthen Town
2 - 0
Cambrian & Clydach
CAM
59%
21%
20%
43 39 4 +1
14 Oct. 2023
CAR
Carmarthen Town
2 - 0
Evans & Williams
EWA
81%
12%
7%
43 7 36 0
X