Goytre United vs Aberdare Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
GOY
2 - 1
MAE
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
GOY
3 - 1
BRI
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
GOY
2 - 0
PON
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GOY
0 - 1
NEA
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
GOY
1 - 1
BRY
74%
16%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
PON
1 - 0
ABE
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
LID
2 - 0
ABE
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2007 |
NEA
2 - 1
ABE
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 1
TON
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
ERA
1 - 2
ABE
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |