Goytacaz vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
GOY
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
OLA
4 - 0
GOY
33%
28%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
3 - 0
GOY
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -3 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 1
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 0
GOY
21%
23%
55%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUQ
0 - 1
OLA
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DUQ
4 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 3
DUQ
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DUQ
2 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CEC
3 - 3
DUQ
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |