Goytacaz vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1978 |
GOY
0 - 1
FLU
30%
26%
43%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
GOY
0 - 2
REM
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1978 |
AME
1 - 1
GOY
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
XVD
0 - 0
GOY
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
POR
1 - 1
GOY
76%
14%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
BAN
0 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
BAN
2 - 0
AME
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
BAN
1 - 4
FLA
26%
26%
47%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
AME
1 - 0
BAN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |