Goya vs EMF Aluche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MOS
1 - 0
CDG
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CDG
2 - 0
GAL
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TVA
7 - 0
CDG
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CDG
3 - 2
ATN
57%
19%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CDM
4 - 4
CDG
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
EMF Aluche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 2
NVL
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARY
2 - 1
ALU
60%
20%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALU
0 - 3
CDE
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ROZ
0 - 1
ALU
34%
22%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALU
1 - 1
LUL
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |