Gouvy vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouvy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
GOU
2 - 2
RAE
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
STA
3 - 1
GOU
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 1
GOU
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
GOU
3 - 2
BER
81%
13%
7%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
GOU
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
MES
1 - 3
RCL
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LAR
0 - 2
MES
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
MES
1 - 7
BER
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MES
0 - 5
SOL
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MES
0 - 2
MEI
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |