ND Gorica vs Tabor Sežana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
9º
24
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
NSM
4 - 2
GOR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 2
CEL
19%
27%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 1
GOR
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 2
OLI
14%
24%
61%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
GOR
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tabor Sežana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 1
MAR
15%
22%
64%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
TAS
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 2
RAD
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 2
NSM
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 0
TAS
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |