ND Gorica vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
9º
62
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
GOR
3 - 2
DOM
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
GOR
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FVI
1 - 1
GOR
8%
17%
74%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TAS
1 - 3
GOR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 0
NSM
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
STR
5 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 5
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
TAS
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NSM
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |