ND Gorica vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
GOR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
GOR
2 - 2
OLI
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
RAN
1 - 1
GOR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
GOR
1 - 0
NKN
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
GOR
0 - 3
RAN
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
CEL
5 - 1
RUD
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
23%
26%
52%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 1
CEL
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 1
DOM
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 2
CEL
54%
23%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |