Goole vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 0
GOO
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
KID
5 - 3
GOO
71%
17%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
QUO
3 - 3
GOO
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GOO
3 - 6
CAR
33%
24%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SUT
7 - 2
GOO
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 1
LOU
36%
26%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
KID
0 - 0
SHE
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
ROM
4 - 2
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
6 - 0
SHE
49%
22%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
LOU
5 - 1
SHE
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |