Campeonato de Portugal Group B Round 15

Gondomar vs Marítimo II analysis

Gondomar Marítimo II
39 ELO 36
-11.8% Tilt -28.2%
7207º General ELO ranking 8724º
163º Country ELO ranking 218º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Gondomar
22.7%
Draw
25.4%
Marítimo II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Gondomar
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.4%
Win probability
Marítimo II
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gondomar
-29%
-50%
Marítimo II

Points and table prediction

Gondomar
Their league position
Marítimo II
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
11º
17
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leça FC
62
62
100%
AD Marco 09
53
53
100%
SC Salgueiros
51
51
100%
Cinfães
41
41
100%
Uniao Lamas
38
38
100%
Alpendorada
37
37
100%
Beira Mar SC
37
37
100%
Camacha
36
36
100%
Machico
35
35
100%
Guarda FC
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Gondomar
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Coimbrões
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Marítimo II
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Regua
14º
7
7
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gondomar
Marítimo II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Gondomar
Marítimo II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gondomar
Gondomar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2025
CIN
Cinfães
0 - 0
Gondomar
GON
61%
23%
16%
38 44 6 0
05 Jan. 2025
COI
Coimbrões
0 - 0
Gondomar
GON
35%
25%
40%
38 29 9 0
15 Dec. 2024
GON
Gondomar
0 - 1
AD Marco 09
ADM
41%
26%
34%
39 43 4 -1
08 Dec. 2024
CAM
Camacha
2 - 0
Gondomar
GON
45%
27%
28%
40 40 0 -1
30 Nov. 2024
GON
Gondomar
1 - 0
Regua
REG
78%
14%
9%
40 16 24 0

Matches

Marítimo II
Marítimo II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2025
MAR
Marítimo II
0 - 1
Alpendorada
ALP
47%
22%
31%
36 36 0 0
05 Jan. 2025
CIN
Cinfães
2 - 0
Marítimo II
MAR
57%
23%
20%
37 43 6 -1
15 Dec. 2024
MAR
Marítimo II
3 - 1
Coimbrões
COI
63%
20%
17%
36 30 6 +1
08 Dec. 2024
ADM
AD Marco 09
2 - 1
Marítimo II
MAR
54%
21%
25%
37 42 5 -1
30 Nov. 2024
MAR
Marítimo II
2 - 2
Camacha
CAM
39%
24%
37%
36 40 4 +1