Gondomar vs Camacha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
7º
7º
31
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
GON
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GON
2 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
GON
31%
29%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GON
0 - 2
BMA
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
GON
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAL
15%
23%
62%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
REB
2 - 0
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
ALP
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAM
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
RES
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |