South African First Division Round 8

Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis

Golden Arrows Mamelodi Sundowns
62 ELO 75
14.9% Tilt -8.7%
1888º General ELO ranking 1191º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.4%
Golden Arrows
27.5%
Draw
43.1%
Mamelodi Sundowns

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
Golden Arrows
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.1%
Win probability
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Golden Arrows
-19%
+73%
Mamelodi Sundowns

ELO progression

Golden Arrows
Mamelodi Sundowns
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Golden Arrows
Golden Arrows
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2011
CHI
Kaizer Chiefs
1 - 2
Golden Arrows
GOL
71%
20%
9%
61 75 14 0
24 Sep. 2011
GOL
Golden Arrows
1 - 3
Engen Santos
SAN
47%
25%
28%
61 65 4 0
18 Sep. 2011
MAR
Durban City
2 - 0
Golden Arrows
GOL
55%
25%
21%
62 63 1 -1
14 Sep. 2011
GOL
Golden Arrows
3 - 1
Platinum Stars
PLS
50%
25%
25%
61 64 3 +1
24 Aug. 2011
BLA
Black Leopards
2 - 0
Golden Arrows
GOL
46%
26%
28%
62 59 3 -1

Matches

Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2011
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 - 1
Bloemfontein Celtic
BLO
61%
23%
16%
75 71 4 0
24 Sep. 2011
PIR
Orlando Pirates
0 - 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
42%
29%
29%
75 75 0 0
18 Sep. 2011
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 - 3
Cape Town Spurs
AJA
50%
25%
25%
75 74 1 0
13 Sep. 2011
BID
Bidvest Wits
2 - 3
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
36%
28%
36%
75 67 8 0
28 Aug. 2011
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 1
Orlando Pirates
PIR
56%
24%
21%
75 75 0 0