Nedbank Cup South Africa 1/16

Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis

Golden Arrows Mamelodi Sundowns
69 ELO 75
-14% Tilt -16.3%
1895º General ELO ranking 1187º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.8%
Golden Arrows
27.2%
Draw
34.9%
Mamelodi Sundowns

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
Golden Arrows
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Golden Arrows
-21%
+78%
Mamelodi Sundowns

ELO progression

Golden Arrows
Mamelodi Sundowns
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Golden Arrows
Golden Arrows
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2006
GOL
Golden Arrows
3 - 0
Bush Bucks
BBU
49%
25%
26%
68 64 4 0
25 Feb. 2006
MAR
Durban City
1 - 2
Golden Arrows
GOL
37%
28%
35%
68 60 8 0
22 Feb. 2006
GOL
Golden Arrows
2 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
33%
28%
39%
67 74 7 +1
17 Feb. 2006
SAN
Santos Cape Town
1 - 1
Golden Arrows
GOL
55%
26%
19%
67 69 2 0
21 Dec. 2005
GOL
Golden Arrows
0 - 0
Bloemfontein Celtic
BLO
46%
26%
28%
67 66 1 0

Matches

Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2006
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 - 0
Likhopo
LIK
82%
12%
6%
75 48 27 0
02 Mar. 2006
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 1
Santos Cape Town
SAN
64%
22%
14%
75 69 6 0
26 Feb. 2006
BLO
Bloemfontein Celtic
2 - 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
37%
28%
35%
75 67 8 0
22 Feb. 2006
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 - 1
Kaizer Chiefs
CHI
52%
25%
23%
75 75 0 0
19 Feb. 2006
LIK
Likhopo
0 - 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
15%
21%
65%
75 48 27 0