South African First Division Round 19

Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis

Golden Arrows Mamelodi Sundowns
73 ELO 73
-8.2% Tilt -19.4%
1894º General ELO ranking 1190º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.9%
Golden Arrows
26.3%
Draw
27.8%
Mamelodi Sundowns

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
Golden Arrows
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.9%
Win probability
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Golden Arrows
-21%
+78%
Mamelodi Sundowns

ELO progression

Golden Arrows
Mamelodi Sundowns
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Golden Arrows
Golden Arrows
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2003
WES
Western Province
0 - 1
Golden Arrows
GOL
39%
28%
33%
72 64 8 0
26 Jan. 2003
GOL
Golden Arrows
0 - 1
Manning Rangers
MAN
54%
25%
22%
72 70 2 0
19 Jan. 2003
COS
Jomo Cosmos
0 - 1
Golden Arrows
GOL
54%
26%
20%
72 74 2 0
11 Jan. 2003
GOL
Golden Arrows
2 - 2
Black Leopards
BLA
61%
22%
17%
72 65 7 0
04 Jan. 2003
GOL
Golden Arrows
0 - 2
Swallows FC
SWA
49%
26%
25%
72 72 0 0

Matches

Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2003
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 - 1
Manning Rangers
MAN
47%
27%
26%
73 71 2 0
02 Feb. 2003
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 - 1
Engen Santos
SAN
41%
27%
31%
73 74 1 0
26 Jan. 2003
DYN
Dynamos Giyani
2 - 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
36%
27%
37%
74 66 8 -1
19 Jan. 2003
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 - 1
Bidvest Wits
BID
53%
26%
21%
74 72 2 0
15 Jan. 2003
AJA
Cape Town Spurs
1 - 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
38%
27%
35%
75 69 6 -1