Goiás EC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GOI
2 - 0
SAO
38%
25%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
GOI
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GOI
0 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 1
GOI
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 2
VAS
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
CEA
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAO
56%
22%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 2
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |