Copa do Brasil . 1/64
First-leg 3-1
Goiás EC vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.3%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.5%
2.2%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ORC
1 - 3
GOI
5%
12%
83%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 2
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
APA
1 - 2
GOI
14%
20%
67%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
CRA
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ORC
1 - 3
GOI
5%
12%
83%
|
32 | 77 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 0
SEC
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 1
IAP
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 2
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |