Copa do Brasil . 1/64
Global 2-2
Goianésia vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ANA
2 - 0
GOI
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
GOI
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 0
ANA
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
GOI
5 - 0
GOI
85%
12%
4%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
GRÊ
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
GRÊ
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
SAO
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
GRÊ
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |