GOES vs De Dijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
11º
4º
5
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ODI
2 - 2
GOE
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GOE
4 - 0
NIE
56%
21%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZWA
0 - 0
GOE
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GOE
3 - 3
WNC
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GOE
0 - 2
STE
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
De Dijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DED
1 - 2
ACH
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JOD
4 - 3
DED
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DED
0 - 4
SMI
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPI
2 - 0
DED
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NSC
1 - 1
DED
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |