Goa II vs ARA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
49.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goa II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
KER
1 - 1
GOA
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 3
GOA
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
GOA
0 - 1
BUT
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
LKA
0 - 2
GOA
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +3 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
GOA
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ARA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
BUT
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
KER
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
5 - 0
MUM
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LKA
1 - 1
ARA
27%
22%
52%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GOA
1 - 0
ARA
37%
22%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |