Go Ahead Eagles vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VOL
4 - 3
GAE
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
GAE
2 - 1
FCE
84%
12%
4%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
MVV
3 - 3
GAE
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 4
GAE
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 6
GAE
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AZA
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
ZWO
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 0
VVV
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 2
ZWO
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ZWO
2 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |