Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
GAE
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
1 - 2
GAE
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
GAE
0 - 0
RKC
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
RBC
0 - 1
GAE
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GAE
0 - 1
ZWO
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
MVV
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 0
APE
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
EXC
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
HFC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 0
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -2 |