Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
BVO
0 - 4
GAE
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
FTA
2 - 5
GAE
13%
17%
70%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
HER
4 - 1
GAE
47%
23%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
GAE
10 - 0
BVO
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
TEL
0 - 1
GAE
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
VVV
69%
17%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
FCE
0 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
FCV
0 - 5
EXC
6%
13%
82%
|
66 | 22 | 44 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
AZA
4 - 1
EXC
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 4
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |