Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 1
GAE
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
GAE
2 - 1
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
AZA
2 - 2
GAE
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
BOS
0 - 0
GAE
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
GAE
1 - 3
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
GRO
0 - 2
EXC
77%
15%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 0
HFC
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
FEY
4 - 0
EXC
81%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
EXC
6 - 0
FOR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
HEL
1 - 2
EXC
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |