Go Ahead Eagles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 0
GAE
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
SPA
2 - 1
GAE
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
MVV
3 - 3
GAE
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
GAE
2 - 1
PSV
25%
26%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
AJA
3 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
AJA
7 - 1
WIL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
AJA
6 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 4
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |