Gnistan vs FF Jaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
3º
1º
21
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 2
GNI
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GNI
2 - 1
KPV
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MIK
0 - 0
GNI
43%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GNI
0 - 3
TPS
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
FFJ
2 - 2
GNI
33%
26%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FF Jaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FFJ
3 - 0
HIF
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FFJ
1 - 1
JAP
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KPV
1 - 1
FFJ
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FFJ
0 - 2
MIK
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
FFJ
2 - 2
GNI
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |