Gloucester City vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 3
BAR
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
STA
2 - 2
GLO
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 3
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
GLO
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 0
GLO
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
OXF
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOR
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
GOS
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 2
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 3
NOR
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |