Gloucester City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TOW
4 - 2
GLO
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 0
ALT
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
GLO
5 - 1
HED
18%
22%
59%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
EBB
3 - 0
GLO
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VAU
3 - 2
GLO
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 1
VAU
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
GAI
2 - 2
BRA
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 6
GAI
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
GAI
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LEA
2 - 0
GAI
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |