Série D Brazil Etapas Finales. 1/16
Global 5-2
Globo vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 3
GLO
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
GLO
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
AME
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
GLO
23%
26%
52%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 3
GLO
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
AME
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
GUA
39%
28%
34%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |