Globo vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
GLO
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 1
ABC
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
POT
2 - 2
GLO
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 0
CAM
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
COR
3 - 0
GLO
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
POT
1 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
ALE
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 1
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAL
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
POT
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |